Great discussion over at mi2g about how the impossibly large range of inherently unpredictable 'black swan' events inevitably drives organizations to a resilient rather than an anticipatory strategic stance.
Prof Jean-Pierre Lehmann enumerates five different ways that can help companies to prepare for black swans - in our opinion all these lead to the critical notion of resilience. In our highly connected, nonlinear and volatile world where relatively small disturbances can combine to produce large discontinuities that result in severe disruption of business, resilience is the only possible response. Resilience has to do with the ability and capacity of the firm to withstand systemic discontinuities and adapt to new risk environments.
It's a lesson some took long ago.